Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov has said that the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline will be launched irrespective of the US sanctions. Envisaged by the draft US defense budget for the 2020 fiscal year, the restrictions have already run into an adverse reaction in Europe and could further aggravate Washington’s relations with major European capitals, first of all, with Berlin.
The sanctions in question, which were imposed on the Nord Stream-2 and Turkish Stream gas pipelines, speak of the Congress’s desire to “do everything” to destroy relations with Russia. Nevertheless, both projects will go ahead, – Sergey Lavrov said following his visit to Washington on December 10th.
In the run-up to the Russian-American negotiations, the US Senate Committee on Armed Forces published a draft defense budget for 2020, which imposes sanctions on Russian energy projects. The draft says the restrictions on the Nord Stream 2 and Turkish Stream projects are introduced, no more, no less, to ensure Europe’s energy security.
According to the authors of the bill, the decision to include sanctions on the Nord Stream-2 project in the military budget was taken because there is no time now to elaborate a separate law regarding these restrictions. The idea is that sanctions should be introduced as early as possible in order to thwart the completion of the gas pipeline. Jim Rish, Chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, points out that the restrictions will be applied against companies that supply vessels for laying pipes at a depth of 100 feet (about 30.5 m) below sea level.
The measures, which were approved by the House of Representatives on December 11, may directly affect foreign partners of Nord Stream 2 AG, a project operator Nord Stream 2, which comprise French Engie, Austrian OMV, British-Dutch Royal Dutch Shell, German Uniper and Wintershall, as well as a number of European contractors. The developers of the bill did their best: it could shut companies out of access to any operations in the United States or any work for American business around the world, including American credit resources. As for physical persons, employees of these companies may lose the opportunity to obtain an American visa; also, any transactions related to their property or interests in the United States will be blocked. Under available information, the initiators of the bill also intend to strike at three major companies involved in laying underwater pipelines and firmly integrated into the global market. These are the German “Uniper”, the Swiss “Allseas” and the Italian Saipem.
The campaign to introduce US sanctions against partners of the Russian PJSC Gazprom was initiated by Republican Senator Ted Cruz, who in May this year submitted a separate bill to the Senate on sanctions against foreign operators of pipe-laying vessels of the Nord Stream-2 gas pipeline. In July the Senate committee which deals with such issues voted in favor of the document. The Ted Cruise bill with the final amendments has become part of the draft defense budget. The Senator assured all parties concerned that “the Congress will approve, and the president will sign the target sanctions that will punish companies involved in the construction of the gas pipeline.” The Congressmen expect to adopt a defense budget before the Congress adjourns on December 20, 2019.
Commenting on the above mentioned document, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said that “the Congress is overwhelmed with the desire to do everything in its power to destroy our relations.”
However, at the last moment, Congressmen apparently tried to soften the earlier proposed sanctions. As follows from a conciliation report by members of the Senate and House of Representatives Committees on Armed Forces, the final version of the Ted Cruise bill contained yet more exceptions compared to the one passed by the related Senate Committee in July.
Approved after a three-month discussion, the bill envisages measures against foreign companies that supply vessels for the construction of the Nord Stream-2 and Turkish Stream pipelines but exempts companies that provide insurance and reinsurance services for such ships. Sanctions will not affect companies that guarantee the repair or maintenance of both pipelines.
Within 30 days of the entry into force of the bill the company can wrap up its work to provide operators of the Nord Stream-2 and Turkish Stream projects with pipe-laying vessels without facing sanctions. The Congress has also halved the maximum term of sanctions regime from ten to five years.
The President of the United States enjoys the right to make an exception and not to impose sanctions against a company that supplies ships for Gazprom projects, if this chimes in with the “US national security interests”.
In addition, the final version of the bill does not include potentially much more austere sanctions against the new Russian state debt.
In this respect, The Wall Street Journal reasonably argues that “sanctions directed against pipe-laying companies may trigger yet greater tensions between the US and Germany, which strongly opposes new sanctions.”
According to the newspaper, the Russian Gazprom and the government of German Federal Chancellor Angela Merkel “have long been prepared for the possibility of US sanctions, as reported by German officials and representatives of the Russian energy giant.” The Wall Street Journal quotes a top German official who spoke on condition of anonymity as saying that “the construction of the pipeline is coming to a close and that this project will be completed, despite the sanctions.” According to a German government representative, the Merkel Cabinet “rejects extraterritorial sanctions that affect German and European companies,” – the American edition says.
In Germany proper, many politicians have taken yet a tougher stance against US sanctions on Europeans. The fact that the German government submitted to the “economic attack” and “surrendered” to the United States over the construction of the Nord Stream 2 pipeline was voiced by Steffen Kotre, Speaker of the Alternative for Germany faction on energy issues in the Bundestag. According to Kotre, “the USA managed to link Nord Stream-2 with Ukraine, which it destabilized earlier.” The government of Angela Merkel is just unable to represent and defend the position of Germany at the moment, while the stability of Ukraine “has nothing to do with other economic projects,” – Steffen Kotre says.
A similar opinion came from Chairman of the Parliamentary Commission on Economics and Energy Klaus Ernst,who said Ukraine’s support for US sanctions undermines Germany’s energy policy and calls into question further assistance from the European Union. Kiev has received and continues to receive “substantial political and financial support from the European Union,” and at the same time, it supports US sanctions that undermine “our energy policy,” – Klaus Ernst said.
The German parliamentarian emphasized that if Washington imposes sanctions on the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline, Berlin may respond with retaliatory measures, such as increase duties on American liquefied natural gas.
Europe should take retaliatory measures in response to US sanctions against the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline which are enshrined in the draft defense budget for the 2020 fiscal year, the German-Russian Chamber of Commerce said in a statement. The document emphasizes that this organization condemns extraterritorial sanctions against the pipeline construction project. According to OMV CEO Rainer Seele, “sanctions against the Nord Stream 2 project are a blow to Europe and Germany, a close ally.” Rainer Seele is convinced that Berlin and Brussels need to assume a clear political position and “respond with target measures,” since energy independence of European countries depends on it.
New US sanctions against the Russian Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline will hit EU sovereignty, – predicts Oliver Hermes, chairman of the East German Economy Committee: “If these sanctions come into force, it will be a direct blow to European Union sovereignty and a fatal signal for Paris’ peace efforts. ” The expert said that the participants in the “Normandy Four” summit in Paris on December 9 took new steps to achieve a settlement in Donbass “after years of idleness”. Considering this, American sanctions will constitute a threat to a “new, bold” approach to the situation in eastern Ukraine. Oliver Hermes made it clear that if the US imposes restrictions on Russia, energy prices for European consumers will gradually go up; in addition, sanctions n will “undermine transatlantic unity” and inflict damage on US projects in Europe.
“We must respond with countermeasures to the sanctions, which are detrimental to Europe,” – the head of the German-Russian Chamber of Commerce Matthias Shepp reaffirms: “It’s time for Berlin and Brussels to take a clear political position and respond with target countermeasures,” as the energy-political security of Europe is at stake. According to Matthias Shepp, Nord Stream 2 enhances Europe’s energy security by guaranteeing low energy prices in comparison with more expensive American liquefied natural gas. “The US wants to boost the supply of its liquefied gas to Europe with the help of sanctions. Meanwhile, Germany needs low energy prices for its energy-intensive industry to survive amid global competition,” – the head of the German-Russian Chamber of Commerce emphasizes.
Meanwhile, Ukraine hopes that the measures proposed by the American Congressmen will disrupt the implementation of the Nord Stream 2 project. However, Ukrainian experts recognize that “it will be difficult to push a number of major investors out of the project. Many have nothing to lose. Some feel the strong support of European governments, above all, German businesses. Given the circumstances, there is a chance that the construction will continue and will likely be completed, though with a considerable delay. ”
Given the situation, a lot will depend on the position of Germany and France as key EU players and major participants in the “Normandy process.” From both economic and political points of view, Berlin and Paris will lose a lot if they choose not to cooperate with Russia and block the implementation of the Nord Stream 2 project. In addition, the convincing victory of Brexit supporters in the UK’s early parliamentary elections on December 12 weakens the positions of the “Euro-Atlanticists” in Europe and those oriented at Washington. What also remains important is the deadline for completing the construction of the pipeline, since both the finalization of the pipeline project and the imposition of sanctions is a matter of just a few months.
From our partner International Affairs
Maximizing Nickel as Renewable Energy Resource and Strengthening Diplomacy Role
Authors: Nani Septianie and Ramadhan Dwi Saputra*
The development of the times and technology, the use of energy in the world will continue along with the increase of population. Global energy demand is currently recorded to have increased three times since 1950 and its use is estimated to have reached 10,000 million tons per year. Most of the energy is produced from non-renewable materials such as coal, gas, petroleum, and nuclear energy. Besides being non-renewable, fossil-based energy is also not environmentally friendly because burning fossil fuels produces CO2 gas which can cause global warming. Based on the energy used previously, the world still uses fossil energy that used in conventional vehicles that still use gasoline as fuel. Where fossil energy itself is still classified as the energy that is not environmentally friendly because it produces carbon emissions that can pollute the environment. Therefore, the world is currently flocking to make renewable energy by electric vehicles that are more environmentally friendly.
In electric vehicles, batteries play a very important role in the components of electric vehicles. Currently, there are two types of batteries that are the most common and widely used for electric vehicles. The first is a lithium-ion battery and the second is a nickel-based battery. But keep in mind for the type of lithium-ion battery itself, nickel is also the main raw material needed. Lithium-ion batteries commonly used to store power in vehicles are Lithium Manganese Oxide (LMO), Lithium Nickel Manganese Oxide (NMC), Lithium Nickel Cobalt Oxide (LTO). The reason for using nickel as a raw material for electric vehicles batteries is more environmentally friendly, nickel is also considered to be more efficient. Because nickel is a metal that has a high energy density storage and cheaper than using other types of minerals such as cobalt. As the popularity of electric vehicles continues to climb due to their increasing demand, the future of nickel production will also be brighter in future. Demand for automatic mining commodities will continue to grow, to encourage companies and producing countries to be eager to increase production.
Reporting from Investing News, Monday (10/26/2020) there are 10 largest nickel producing countries in the world, namely the United States in the tenth position with total production: 14,000 Metric Ton (MT, the ninth position Cuban countries with total production: 51,000 MT, the ninth position is Cuba the the eighth countries are Brazil with total production: 67,000 MT, the seventh position is China with a total production of 110,000 MT, the sixth position is Canada with total production: 180,000 MT, the fifth position is Australia with total production: 180,000 MT, the fourth position is New Caledonia with a total production: 220,000 MT, the third position is Russia with a total production of 270,000 MT, the second position is the Philippines with a total production: 420,000 MT, and the first position is occupied by Indonesia with the largest total production of 800,000 MT. Indonesia has been used as a benchmark by many parties regarding the seriousness of a country to enter the Nickel trend. In 2019, it was reported that nickel production will be bigger than palm oil production, which is the second largest commodity to be exported. Its relatively affordable distance from China, which is a leading country in the production of electronic vehicle manufacturers, makes the export process of this commodity very ideal. Indonesia also still has nickel reserves of 21 million MT.
Nickel is an important component in the production of electric vehicles, which can be used as raw materials for long-term sustainable battery manufacturing to create a clean environment. Where nickel as the main raw material for the manufacture and operation of electric vehicles has contributed to reducing carbon emissions. Based on the Union of Concerned Scientist explains that battery production contributes of global warming emissions and decreases to 43% where this decrease depends on the chemicals used in the manufacture of battery raw materials. Making electric vehicle batteries is indirectly appropriate with the commitments of the Paris Agreement and the Sustainable Development Goals Agenda (SDGs) at point 13 to combat Climate Change in reducing carbon emissions to achieve a climate-neutral world. Therefore, each country is needed to cooperate and maximize diplomatic strategies between countries to fulfill the source of raw materials for the manufacture of electric vehicle batteries, especially nickel.
Countries are needed to maximize diplomacy activities to create an equal distribution of electric vehicle production
Therefore, the large production of electric vehicles shows that in the future each country will need a supply of raw material for the production of batteries, namely Nickel which is the main raw material for making batteries. electricity. This phenomenon shows that the largest nickel producing countries have an important role in achieving the contribution of raw materials for the manufacture of electric vehicle batteries. However, with the large production in each country that has an abundance of nickel, the country cannot stand alone. Instead, it is also necessary to distribute nickel production in other countries by sharing raw materials, which can be carried out using a diplomatic strategy.
Therefore, diplomatic activities between countries are very important to complete all the shortcomings possessed by each country. Each country can use its negotiation skills in achieving its national interests and the needs of each country. However, countries that have a large abundance of energy resources, especially nickel, which is the main raw material for the manufacture of electric vehicle batteries, should not continue to export excessively, but countries that have these energy sources must continue to limit the number of exports. Because nickel is an energy resource, the wealth of this energy resource must be maintained to prevent the depreciation of nickel reserves. Therefore, each country is required to carry out diplomacy, including strengthening the bargaining power of each country, negotiating to create an even distribution of nickel supply, complementing the needs that each country lacks in assembling electric vehicles, and Each country is required to form a sustainable plan as a long-term strategy to ensure that electric vehicles can continue to be produced in the future, especially nickel which is the main raw material in the manufacture of electric vehicle batteries.
*Ramadhan Dwi Saputra, Chemical Engineering Research Assistant at Universitas Islam Indonesia.
Gas doom hanging over Ukraine
The long history of gas transit across independent Ukraine began with Kiev’s initial failure to pay anything for Russian natural gas, both intended for transit to Europe and for domestic consumption, on the pretext of fraternal relations between the former Soviet republics. Later it cost the Ukrainians a meager $25 for 1,000 cubic meters of Russian gas, and that ridiculously small sum remained unchanged for quite some time. The sizeable amount of Russian gas provided at a discount price, plus domestically available oil resources, were distributed by the country’s greedy elite the following way: domestically produced gas was used on utilities, proceeds from the transit of Russian gas went to the state budget (minus the money that lined bureaucratic pockets), and Russian gas – to the industry (plus the corruption component).
Then came the Ukrainian revolutions and Kiev’s desire to join “Euro-Atlantic structures” and the desire to “get off the Russian gas needle and prevent the Kremlin from using energy as a weapon.” Ukraine has tried and is still trying to believe in all this by playing up to the collective West and hoping that the West will compensate Kiev for the losses caused by its revolutionary endeavors and anti-Russian antics. As a result, we see gas prices going through the roof, an energy crisis in Europe, and the completion of the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline.
Those in power in Kiev hoped for the very last moment that the West valued their country more than it did the energy security of European countries. Much to their surprise (and only theirs), this is not so. It looks like the Europeans are interested in Russian gas supplies and are not so eager to keep Ukraine as the main transit country. Moreover, having “democratized Ukraine” to the state of an openly anti-Russian country, the West turned it into a country, whose leadership the Kremlin does not really want to talk to simply because it does not see any point in doing this. This is the reason why third countries care (or rather pretend to care) about Ukraine. Thus, in July of this year, there came out the “Joint Statement of the United States and Germany on Support for Ukraine, European Energy Security and Our Climate Goals.” According to it, Germany pledged to do everything in its power to make sure that the agreement between Moscow and Kiev on the transit of Russian gas across Ukrainian territory was extended for up to ten years. The statement came when it was already obvious that the construction of Nord Stream 2 would be completed, Germany resisted US pressure on this issue, Moscow paid no attention and Washington, exhausted by the battles of the presidential elections and the search for new strategies in the Old World, was trying to pit America’s European friends against Russia.
It has never been a secret that the West needs reliable transit, and this is something that Ukraine also insists on. However, Kiev has officially labelled Russia as an “aggressor country,” which means that this very “aggressor” must ensure this transit and bring billions of dollars in revenues to the Ukrainian budget. This looks like a kind of “Euro-schizophrenia” where Ukraine is an anti-Russian country and simultaneously serves as a reliable transit country for Russian gas. Things do not work this way, however, and it looks like Europeans are beginning to realize this. Therefore, most of the European consumers support Nord Stream 2 even though they do not show this in public. Suffice it to mention the recent conclusion of a years-long contract for gas supplies to Hungary.
Vladimir Putin’s statement, made amid soaring gas prices and growing threats to European industry, came as an energy lifeline for all Europeans.
“Russian President Vladimir Putin supported the initiative of Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak to increase gas supply on the market amid rising energy prices in Europe… Novak said that Russia can stabilize the situation with prices by providing additional volumes of gas on the exchange, adding that this country’s main priority is to accommodate domestic demand,” Lenta.ru reported.
Commenting on the possibility of increasing gas supplies via Ukraine, President Putin recalled that Ukraine’s gas transport system had not been repaired “for decades” and that “something could burst” there any time if gas pressure goes up.
“At the same time, it is more profitable and safer for Gazprom to operate new pipeline systems,” he added. Putin thus confirmed what is already clear to all that Ukraine is an unreliable and, in fact, an extra link, and that Europe can get gas bypassing technically and politically unreliable Ukrainian pipes. He also pointed out that Gazprom would suffer losses from an increase in gas transit via Ukrainian territory, while new gas pipelines offer cheaper transit options. He added that Gazprom is saving about $3 billion a year by using new pipelines and that Russia was ready to increase gas supplies and make them cheaper for European consumers.
Gas shortages have already forced the Ukrainian government to freeze gas prices for household consumers, but prices for gas for industrial enterprises are rising along with those on European exchanges, where on October 6, they reached a very impressive $ 2,000 per thousand cubic meters and went down only after Putin’s statement came out.
Meanwhile, the head of Ukraine’s Federation of Glass Industry Employers, Dmitry Oleinik, said that this [rise in gas prices – D.B.] would lead to an inevitable rise in prices. However, producers will not be able to jack up prices indefinitely, because at some point buyers simply will not be able to cover production costs.
“The Ukrainian consumer will not even be able to cover the cost of production. Plants and factories will slowly shut down and people will lose their jobs – this is already very serious. Budget revenues will “plummet,” and expenses will skyrocket… The issue of bankruptcies is just a matter of time,” Oleinik warned.
If Ukraine continues to follow the chosen course, it will face de-industrialization. By the way, this will suit the West, but certainly not the Ukrainian industrial oligarchs, who have long been eyeing agriculture, including the prospect of turning themselves into land barons. However, the farming sector will not be happy about the high prices on gas that bakeries, sugar factories and greenhouses run on. There will be nowhere to run.
Apart from purely practical realities, the conclusions I can draw from the current energy situation in the world and Vladimir Putin’s statements regarding the Ukrainian transit, are as follows:
- Gas supplies through Ukraine and to Ukraine are not solely an economic issue, given Kiev’s endless anti-Russian escapades;
- This problem affects the energy security of Europe;
- Since there are several angles to this problem, it must be solved in a comprehensive manner;
- At the same time, this cannot be done exclusively in the interests of the West and Ukraine to the detriment of the interests of Russia.
As you can see, it is once again up to Kiev and its shadow patrons to decide. And winter is just around the corner…
From our partner International Affairs
Russian Energy Week: Is the world ready to give up hydrocarbons?
In an official message to mark the opening of the Russian Energy Week international forum on 13-15 October in Moscow, Russian President Vladimir Putin stressed that there are numerous issues on the agenda related to current trends in the global energy market, including improvements to industry infrastructure and the introduction of modern digital technologies into its operation.
“The efficiency of energy production and consumption is the most important factor in the growth of national economies and has a significant impact on people’s quality of life. Many countries have already adopted policies to accelerate the development of clean energy technologies,” he wrote in the message to guest and participants.
“The forum business programme is therefore set to look in detail at the possibility of developing green energy based on renewable sources and the transition to new, more environmentally friendly fuels. I am confident that the events of the Russian Energy Week will allow you to learn more about the achievements of the country’s fuel and energy sector, and that your initiatives will be put into practice,” Putin said.
Leaders of foreign states have also sent greetings to the participants and guests. For instance, President of the Republic of Angola João Manuel Gonçalves Lourenço, Prime Minister of Vietnam Pham Minh Chinh, Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi Armed Forces Mohamed bin Zayed bin Sultan Al Nahyan, and Vice Premier of the State Council of China Han Zheng.
In their greetings, it generally noted the importance of the topics to be discussed at the forum as well as the need to build an international dialogue and consolidate efforts to achieve the sustainable development goals, including as regards climate change.
The programme covers a wide range of issues of transformation and development in the global energy market. In the context of energy transition, the issues of energy development are inextricably linked with the introduction of new technologies, and the transformation aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions into the atmosphere. Climate protection is a task that cannot be solved by one country; it is a global goal, which can be achieved through building dialogue and cooperation between countries.
The participants in the discussion will answer the question: Is the world ready to give up hydrocarbons? In addition, during the panel session, the participants will discuss whether oil, gas and coal are really losing ground in the global energy sector; whether the infrastructure will have time to readjust for new energy sources; how long will there be enough hydrocarbons from the field projects that are being implemented; and whether an energy transition using fossil fuels is possible.
The international climate agenda is forcing many countries to reform their carbon-based energy systems. For Russia, which holds a leading position in the global hydrocarbon markets, the transition to development with low greenhouse gas emissions presents a serious challenge, but at the same time it opens up new opportunities for economic growth based on renewable energy, hydrogen technologies, advanced processing of raw materials and implementing green projects.
The Climate Agenda included sessions dedicated to the operation of the Russian fuel and energy sector in the context of energy transition, the impact of the European green pivot on the cooperation between Russia and Europe, as well as the session titled ‘The Future of Coal in a World Shaped by the Climate Agenda: The End, or a New Beginning?’
Sessions of the ‘New Scenarios for the Economy and the Market’ track are dedicated to the global challenges and opportunities of the electric power industry; the impact of ESG on the Russian fuel and energy sector; the potential for the renewable energy sources; and other issues of the future of energy.
The Russian Energy Agency under the Ministry of Energy brings together experts from key international analytical organizations to discuss the future of world energy during the session titled International Energy Organization Dialogue: Predicting the Development of Energy and Global Markets.
The Human Resource Potential of the Fuel and Energy Sector, participating experts will discuss the prospects for developing the professional qualification system, and a session titled Bringing the Woman’s Dimension to the Fuel and Energy Sector. Optimizing regulation in the energy sector and organizing the certification and exchange of carbon credits in Russia are the basis of the Regulatory Advances in Energy.
Anton Kobyakov, Advisor to the Russian President and Executive Secretary of the Russian Energy Week 2021 Organizing Committee, said “the level of various formats of international participation testifies to the importance of the agenda and Russia’s significant role in the global energy sector. We are a reliable strategic partner that advocates for building international cooperation based on the principles of transparency and openness. With the period of major changes in the industry, it is particularly important to engage in a dialogue and work together to achieve both national and global goals.”
The forum, organized by the Roscongress Foundation, the Russian Ministry of Energy, and the Moscow Government, brought together many local and foreign energy and energy-related enterprises. The speakers attending included Exxon Mobil Corporation Chairman of the Board of Directors and CEO Darren Woods, Daimler AG and Mercedes-Benz AG Chairman of the Board Ola Kallenius, BP CEO Bernard Looney, and TotalEnergies Chairman and CEO Patrick Pouyanné.
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