As we all read and assess and experience the last years the crisis all around the World are too many and overwhelming heading to a most probable Global Confrontation.
The Middle East and surrounding areas and Countries are facing huge threats from extremes barbaric groups like ISIS which have brought by fighting each other and killing beheading and raping, crucifying, chopping all people that are not like them and destroying every cultural sites and whatever has been kept to remind us our past civilizations and cultures. They try to uproot everything while other countries like Turkey, Iran, Saudis are trying to expand and create the so called one Caliphate for their Mahdi to come and save the world.
This means that nothing will stop them to continue and expand everywhere they can worldwide and fight the Satan as they say. Kill all the infidels and make millions of babies killing afterwards their non Muslim alike them mothers.
Apart from that we have also another huge confrontation coming on from the East like Russia and the Far East China. They are getting prepared to get the US position financially and militarily. This has still time to happen if ever happens but adds threats and confusion in the picture of the World the Alliances and the Strategies we need to follow to Deter a World War 3-4.
We experience Turkey which from a secular Muslim Country has become a Radical one and with its Government is obviously moving aggressively forward to create the New Ottoman Empire. Does not stop anywhere does not listen to US anymore if this is against its target and plays in many different tables. I really wonder how NATO still consider Turkey as a member of the Alliance.
The only one left stronghold with our Basis and one jump away from Asia, North Africa and Middle East is Greece. But now we might lose Greece too. Since the Major Financial crisis 2009, for Greece her structure inside the old EU style had turned Greece to a Socialist Country with huge Government and Huge Governmental Industries and Organizations. Since 2010 Greece has received more than 300 Billion Euros as loans with tremendous austerity measures, which caused the most in Europe suffering to the middle class and the poor. The 50% of the loans were to pay the old loans and the other 50% were to pay the interest of the new loans. Nothing for development, nothing from the rich το be taken, only the middle class and the poor those who were always paying their taxes lost everything. The economy started to be competitive, but on the last elections January 2015 a far leftist party which had only the 4% received all the votes of the desperate people, because promised that will not accept further reduction of the pensions and further reductions of the salaries and will not accept to fire massive volumes employees from the Government.
At this moment Greece has paid all the billions of EURO and USD to the ECD to the IMF and other institutions since August 2014 without to receive any money as was scheduled. Now has spent everything no reserve funds left. Nothing has been left but probably only to pay for the last time the salaries and the pensions. Probably will pay IMF for June then zero left! The Government trying to pay the debtors has not paid the contractors, the medical sector, the hospitals who run out of medicins, even from first use everyday needs.
Our President Obama has repeatedly asked Ms Merkel and IMF to find a solution for Greece to get stabilized again, but nothing has happened. The PM of Greece Mr. Tsipras has many inside his party problems from the 40% far leftists, who press him not to proceed over their red lines and to not pay any debtor anymore.. At this moment Greece has come forward to line up with the most measures that the EU is asking and has prepared a plan agreement to pass through the EU Brussels Group and then if agreed to pass through the EURO GROUP and make an agreement to get some funds as has not received any funds since a year ago.
Without that can not pay any obligations to the IMF and EU, which only for the summer are over 10 billion USD.
If nothing happens and Greece defaults will be very very bad for our Alliance much worst than the EU financial Economy, as Russia is standing by to come forward and give 10 billion USD and also import all Greek agricultural products, provide gas and oil and with China together get over Greece. Also Turkey is ready to attack and get some islands from Greece in order to put its feet into the oil/gas which exist in huge quantities under the Greek waters.
The time is over, Greek people have nothing to lose anymore because they have lost everything they had. The decision is OURS here in the US. Are we ready to lose Greece from our Alliance? If not then we MUST do something strong NOW.
China and US keep a close eye on Greenland
Greenland is mulling independence. While enjoying wide autonomy within the Kingdom of Denmark with its own parliament since 2009,. Greenland still faces two serious economic problems standing on its way to full-fledged sovereignty, namely the need to make itself less dependent on financial assistance from Copenhagen ($620 million), and reduce its overdependence on revenues from shrimp and halibut fishing.
These two problems are closely intertwined. Greenland is a world leader in terms of per capita volume of marine resources, with 25 percent to 50 percent of its working-age population engaged in fish and seafood production, which account for at least 87 percent of the island’s exports, 89 percent of which go to Denmark.
Greenland’s lopsided economy is unable to fully ensure the islanders’ financial viability as almost half of the local government’s social expenses are subsidized by Denmark.
With the island’s foreign, defense and economic policy being steered by Copenhagen, the only way to diversify the local economy is to expand foreign economic activity and develop additional industries. The Greenlandic authorities believe that the involvement of foreign partners could help develop the local mining sector, but they are hamstrung by Denmark, which has a final say in choosing such partners.
The Greenlandic government in Nuuk (the capital of Greenland) sees the export of land resources as holding the economic key to the island’s future independence, with China viewed as the most promising partner willing to develop the local mining and transport sectors.
Nuuk and Beijing have reached an agreement on China upgrading the airports in Nuuk, Ilulissat and Qaqortoq and the development of the Kvanefjeld deposit with an estimated 200,000 tons of uranium ore.
However, this gives rise to a certain contradiction between the right to use land resources granted to Greenland by Copenhagen, and Denmark’s right to determine the island’s defense policy. Meanwhile, Nuuk and Copenhagen are trying to figure out whether proposed uranium mining and airport modernization by Chinese investors is economic or defense-related.
Greenland has a strategic importance as a source of rare earth metals and a gateway to the Arctic. Denmark remains an Arctic power as long as it owns Greenland. Therefore, in its effort to enlist US support, Copenhagen emphasizes that Greenland is part of the North American continent.
Greenland is built into Washington’s security architecture as an element of perimeter defense, which, besides Greenland proper, also includes Canada. Washington’s 1948 offer to buy Greenland for $100 million (declined by Denmark) underscores the island’s geopolitical significance for the United States.
Denmark’s sovereignty over Greenland ensures the security of the northeastern flank of the United States and Canada, while simultaneously allowing Canada to “break free” from US “encirclement,” which facilitates the US-Canadian dialogue on Arctic-related issues and strengthens Ottawa’s negotiating position. While officially favoring Denmark’s continued sovereignty over Greenland, Washington may still be mulling, albeit tacitly, the possibility of interacting with the authorities of the would-be independent Greenland. In the latter case, Washington hopes that, unable to establish full-fledged law enforcement agencies of its own, the local government in Nuuk would entrust its defense to the Pentagon.
Just like Iceland, whose defense capability is guaranteed by NATO, Greenland could eventually gravitate towards rapprochement with or even membership of NATO. This prospect will hardly sit well with Canada, which wants to expand its footprint in the Arctic and would hate to see the emergence of competitors building up ties with Greenland as a pretext for their presence in the region.
Advocates of Greenland’s independence favor the introduction of military conscription in the coast guard, rescue services and patrol units. However, even if, taking cue from Denmark where 0.43% of the population serves in the army, Greenland calls up a similar number of conscripts, its armed forces will still not exceed 250 people. Therefore, the lack of a defense-demographic potential is seen as a serious hurdle on the way to the island’s hypothetical independence.
That being said, the clock is still ticking in favor of Greenland’s eventual independence from Denmark, with global warming accelerating ice loss on the island, opening ice-free areas to potential mining projects.
Greenland is also important in terms of meteorological studies as the island’s climate impacts weather forecasting in Europe, the United States and Canada.
This means that foreign countries may want to use weather monitoring as well as the study of climate change and its impact on Arctic ecology, flora and fauna as a pretext for their presence on the island.
First published in our partner International Affairs
Will the political face of France change?
Political and social equations are wrapped up in France! Protests against President Emmanuel Macron continue. Most analysts from European affairs, however, believe that Macron will not have a chance to survive in the presidential race in the next presidential election.
On the other hand, many analysts believe the likelihood of a nationalist presence at the Elysees Palace is high! Le Pen is now trying to remove Macron from power through holding an early election; “It is necessary to implement proportional representation and dissolve the National Assembly in order to hold new proportional elections.”
Simultaneously, she attempts to attract the attention of French citizens to herself as France’s next president. “We believe that the way out of the crisis is essentially political. This decision excludes any use of violence that only adds chaos to adversity,” Le Pen said in a letter published on the party’s website.
Le Pen also emphasized that the political solution to the recent crisis depended on the French officials while uttering that French President Emmanuel Macron “is deprived of sympathy for the people, constrained by arrogance and indifference of the elites.”
As the French National Front can make its way to power, the EU and Euro area equilibrium will change: a matter that many European and French politicians have warned about.
In 2014, the President of the French National Rally political party, Marin Le Pen was able to shine exceptionally well in the European parliamentary elections and overcome other French political parties. In the 2017 general election, Le Pen was able to reach the final round of the presidential competitions for the first time since the establishment of the French National Rally. However, at that time, Le Pen couldn’t act against the broad opposition of the Socialist and Conservative parties. But the equation seems to have changed now!
The French president is not in good shape now! Polls conducted in France suggested a decline in the popularity of Emmanuel Macron as the country’s president. This is while only 21 months have passed since Macron’s presence at Elysee Palace. Under such circumstances, Le Pen and her companions will naturally try to change the French citizen’s mind to the benefit of the French National Rally. This is a very good time indeed, as many of the French citizens no longer trust Macron and his promises for making economic, social reforms in France.
The main question is whether the French National Front will succeed in achieving its goals? It is not clear, however, that Le Pen’s calculations would all come true. The French National Rally President opened a special account on Macron’s former supporters to change their minds, and as a result, their votes to her benefit! This is while some of these votes may turn into silent votes or white votes.
Also, it’s quite possible that France political atmosphere in 2017, would once again repeat in 2022, or during the country’s possible early elections. In this case, to right-wing extremists of French National Rally are going to lose the elections again. Therefore, Le Pen is really cautious about her positions right now, though she believes that Macron’s incapability provided the ground for her political and social success in Paris.
First published in our partner MNA
Europe has changed its mask
Face” of peaceful and friendly Europe has changed. Europe even does not try any more to wear a mask of past tolerance. Tensions are constantly increasing. Unrest like wildfire is sweeping across Europe. Though riots caused by different events and decisions, political convulsions make Europeans feel uncomfortable. People are tired of being unheard by the authorities.
Misunderstanding between ordinary people and authorities is more clearly visible, especially in the so-called “old Europe”. Once prosperous countries, France and Italy, actively resist the new world order. Social instability, deterioration of living standards on the background of militarization has led to unprecedented unrest. All attempts to reduce tensions have not brought about results.
Democracy has plaid a dirty trick with all of us. Freedom allows people to go on the streets and introduce their position. On the other hand, delegated powers give the authorities the possibility to “calm” the riots, to suspend the activities, to ban meetings, even using police.
French political movement for economic justice, the so-called “yellow vests”, went beyond the country and caused diplomatic crisis between France and Italy.
German workers also expressed solidarity with “yellow vest” protests in France. Workers in Germany share the same grievances and recognize they also confront policies that favour the rich.
Another irritating thing is militarization of the region, NATO expansion. Many Europeans link the fact of increasing national defence expenditures with deterioration of life. That is why anti-NATO and anti-war campaigns on the Internet gain momentum. Among them are: no-to-nato.network, notonato.org, no2nato2019.org, popularresistance.org/no-to-nato-spring-actions-in-washington-dc. The more so, “Stop Air Base Ramstein” campaign in Germany started October 5th, 2008, gains more popularity and organizes protests in Germany and abroad. It has its representatives in the US, Austria, Australia, Poland, Ireland, France, Japan and the UK. The international network No to War – No to NATO calls for broad actions against NATO in Washington DC and worldwide.
The next occasion for such organizations to become more active is the signing an agreement with Macedonia on February, 6 allowing the country to become the military alliance’s 30th member. This particular step could become the catalyzer for more violent protests and political disobedience. It brings chaos to Europe, raises tensions and leads to the loss of trust in Peace and Democracy.
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