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South Asia

The Trans-national Afghan Conspiracy

Ajmal Sohail

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The deplorable statistics of drug addicted people in Afghanistan exceeded one million and the poppy growth almost doubled since the international community’s call for counter-narcotics to be a #1 mission of the NATO Coalition.

The most outrageous in this context is that one third of the Afghan GDP comes from illegal narcotics.  The large portion of profit comes from drug trafficking. It flows to the pockets of the inner circle of President Karzai, likely including himself.

Official evidence may be hidden or destroyed but the Afghan people know the truth. They are forced into involvement mostly through survival. This lethal killing machine takes its toll on vulnerable and defenseless population of the country.  And the new reports of UNODC illustrates that Afghans have become the leading consumers of their own opium causing a high rate of deaths and addiction each year.

Afghanistan opium, at the international level, has created a drug market worth $65 billion, catering to 15 million addicts contributing to millions of deaths every year.  Consequently, instead of destroying the drug trade, the drug trade has become a pleasant business for the Karzai led government. That is why he time and again turns blind eyes to border and airports honest inspections and controls. Sources close to CIA say that transnational anti-crime and counter drug activities find this blind eye toward the borders and airports causes the appeal of international community mafia and organized crime criminals (Trans-national criminality). They use all land and air portals towards the passage of drug luggage and containers into the international arena. It also serves to resupply the organized crime groups with weapons of war coming into the Afghan territories. South and Central Asia depicts the enormous drug cartels where tons make their way to Central Asia, South Asia, Southwest/Southeast, Middle East and Europe and America virtually unimpeded except for highlighted arrests to make themselves look like they are doing their jobs.  To the international politicos it is all show and spin.

This activity gives the impression that either there are meaningless border/airport inspections or it they do not exist at all. The worst scandal is that President Karzai lashes out at SPA and SOFA to his personal demands. He calls for air-supremacy and ground superiority of the country to be in command of Afghan authorities although scores of sources have proven and there is no doubt that several ministries; counting Borders and Tribal affairs, MOI, MOD, Custom, Security, Police, etc are engrossed in bribery, intimidation, murder, kidnapping and ransom in conjunction with some part of the organized crime illegal narcotics industry. To be candid the entire illegal drugs and narcotics manufacturing goes thru Afghan government. Officials work for organized crime/covert operations allowing narcotics industry to flourish.

Around 70,000 foreign troops help manage security in the country. However, there is significant resistance from so-called Taliban, independent local warlords, drug lords especially in the areas where poppy are cultivated, drugs and narcotics are processed and trafficked. There is no rule of law at the bordering areas which connect Afghanistan and Pakistan. Amid Afghanistan and Iran and the central Asian countries, including the entire Stans’, bullets and violence rule. This in turn disrupts counter-narcotics efforts of US/Coalition. The mainly disgusting tale is that Karzai refuses to permit US/coalition to be involved in any border/airport activity and honest controls and inspections except mentoring and some technological improvements (which are usually inoperative) at the portals.  US and Coalition have been briefed on the situation and refuse to make it an issue on any level of negotiations. Furthermore, senior-most leaders [presidents], secret services and law enforcement agencies of all countries surrounding Afghanistan thru Russia on northern distribution route are complicit in allowing Karzai and his cronies to carry on the illegal narcotics distribution industry. Karzai will likely turn around and blame the international community yet again if he is ever blamed for the criminal activity.

To be frank there are little or no honest inspections on the borders or at the airports of Afghanistan, inside the country or in adjoining countries, allowing 95% of all global heroin commonly free distribution from Afghanistan. One can honestly say that presidents and political pundits of all surrounding countries in the entire region are engaged to consent to this conspiracy to be continued.  All leaders of all countries know where the problem comes from and refuse to act. All of these leaders are complicit with President Karzai in propagating this portion of major Trans-national criminality. They are all complicit in killing children and adults around the world or creating massive addictions. They are all complicit in killing and/or addicting millions of Afghans to heroin and opiates. They are all complicit in allowing President Karzai using Narcotics Industries to support the Afghan GDP and creating a sub-culture illegal job market in Afghanistan. They are all complicit in allowing Karzai to stay in power to protect the illegal narcotics market and the billions of US valued dollars that are illegally made and distributed. This Trans-national organized criminal activity is known by and obviously permitted by a myriad of international leaders who just as obviously must making large amounts of money from Karzai’s ability to run the largest Heroin/Opiate Syndicates in the world. Otherwise, they would stop the entire industry.

Drug trafficking has become a pleasurable industry to presidents and political authorities of the intact region. Very unfortunately, when they address the innocent citizens of the countries they applaud work for counter-narcotics efforts. Behind scenes, they cooperate with such a plot to keep on. When they are brazen with the public, they spin and articulate that it is impossible to protect total Afghan borders. Yet most of all narcotics and other black market materials moving out of Afghanistan, along with war formulating material into Afghanistan, comes thru, bought and paid for, by organized crime established borders and airports. To be blunt, this is one of the most prevalent shocking international trans-national conspiracies, in all history of Afghanistan and the entire globe. This in turn destroys all hope of democracy, interrupts free markets, depletes national assets, forces jobs and skills to be connected to criminality and kills or addicts innocent Afghans. As it is said, Trans-national Crime Networks often pick on failed states, states like Afghanistan. In order to tackle down such conspiracy proper inspections need to be placed on all portals of Afghanistan.  According to Louise I. Shelley, director of the Terrorism, Transnational Crime and Corruption Center at George Mason University, “Transnational crime is a defining issue of the 21st century for policymakers – as defining as the Cold War for the 20th century and colonialism was for the 19th.

In accordance with, Yuri A. Voronin professor of Criminal Law, Urals State Law Academy Ekateringburg Russia, “Transnational criminal rings are becoming more and more powerful and universal and their mobility is growing. The means and resources of any state are not enough to seriously harm them”.

Therefore, participation of US/Coalition for further investigation at airports and borders of Afghanistan is indispensable and absolutely necessary. Otherwise, Trans-national Organized Crimes result in disrupting peace and stability of nations worldwide and a huge part of it originating from Afghanistan.

Ajmal Sohail is Co-founder and Co-president of Counter Narco-terrorism Alliance Germany and he is National Security and counter terrorism analyst. He is active member of Christian Democratic Union (CDU)as well.

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South Asia

Youm-e-Takbeer: History and Significance

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28th May this year marks the 20th anniversary of historical moment when Pakistan successfully detonated nuclear devices in the Chagai district, Balochistan; and joined the prestigious club of nuclear weapon states.  Pakistan was compelled to test the nuclear weapon in response to a series of nuclear tests by India on 11th and 13th May of same year, 1998. It is important to note that it was the second series of nuclear tests by India in 1998, first being the so-called Smiling Buddha in May 1974.

After conducting a series of five nuclear tests in May 1998, the Indian politicians and public were of the view that now they had a monopoly over the nuclear technology and capability in the region, however test of six nuclear explosions by Pakistan was a befitting response to India’s sheer misperception.

India’s nuclear tests of 1974 and 1998 left Pakistan with no option to ensure its defence but to restore to the balance of power in the region by maintaining deterrence equilibrium. It is the fact that development of Pakistan’s nuclear capabilities is the expression of its security concerns to counter India’s conventional superiority over Pakistan. Due to various security challenges, security dilemma is operational between both states.  India’s nuclear test in 1974 was significant factors due to which Pakistan felt threatened and believed that it was only with the help of developing the nuclear capability can it ensure its security and survival. Subsequently, Pakistan followed the policy of nuclear ambiguity which is widely considered justified by security analysts on the grounds of an Indian threat. Same applies to the Pakistan’s retaliatory response of conducting nuclear tests in May 1998. After India’s nuclear test, Pakistan’s government emphasized that “Pakistan’s failure to respond in kind would have made it vulnerable to its aggressive neighbor”.  Speech of President Nawaz sharifin May 1998 has proven that acquisition of nuclear capability was inevitable for the security and survival of Pakistan.

As a result of successful nuclear tests, Pakistan appeared as 7th nuclear weapon state of the world and 1st country of the Muslim world having the nuclear weapon capability. Since then Pakistan remembers this day as Youm-e-Takbeer; ‘The day of Greatness” as a reminder of the tough choice Pakistan made to ensure its defence despite the immense international pressure from the US and other Western countries. Soon after nuclear tests, sanctions were imposed by the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) on both India and Pakistan. However, the explosion of nuclear weapons marks the “Overt Nuclearization” of South Asia and both countries were acknowledged as de facto nuclear weapon states.

Though the roots of nuclear deterrence and strategic stability can be traced back to the pre-nuclearization period when the debates erupted regarding ambiguous nuclear capabilities of India and Pakistan. Now due to the existence of deterrence equilibrium and strategic stability, no matter how fragile, both Pakistan and India have been able to maintain crisis stability over the past 20 years: wherein no conflict has actually escalated into a full blown war.

According to SIPRI 2018 report, India is the largest arms importer of the world. It is developing a sophisticated inventory of nuclear arms comprised of tactical weapons, inter-continental ballistic missiles, and anti-ballistic missile system to fulfill its aspirations of acquiring the status of “regional power”. On the other hand, Pakistan’s leadership, both political and military, understand the possibility to promote security and peace in region through arms control rather than arms race. Therefore to prevent South Asia from a nuclear arm race, Pakistan put forward various proposals: First, in 1974 to declare South Asia as “nuclear weapon-free zone”; Second, the post-1998 proposal to establish “Pakistan-India strategic restraint regime”. Unfortunately, India has consistently rejected all these proposals. India’s unwelcoming attitude has left Pakistan with no option but to restore to the balance of power in the region by developing sophisticated nuclear capabilities.

Moreover, nuclear weapon and nuclear related technology is seen as contributing to Pakistan’s economic and defense base that could ultimately ensure national security objectives of the country.  First, talking about economy or energy security: Pakistan has a modest nuclear power programme.It is using peaceful nuclear power and technology to ensure long-term energy security .Pakistan is also one of the ‘energy deficient’ states that focuses on energy security to fulfill its socio-economic demands. Second, due to nuclear weapon capability Pakistan’s defense has become impregnable. On the other hand, when it comes to the significance of nuclear weapon capability in political arena to fulfill foreign policy objectives, it is unfortunate that even after acquiring the nuclear weapon capability, the overall political standing of Pakistan in global arena has not favorably changed.  Though Pakistan has the option to use nuclear weapon as negotiating tool to fulfill its political objectives but nuclear weapon capability is considered as a tool to ensure state’s defence against aggression, be it conventional or nuclear.  Therefore, the rationale behind Pakistan’s military nuclear programme remains the same over the years i.e.  to counter the conventional military superiority of India.

To conclude, after 20 years of nuclearization, 28th May marks the “historic milestone” of Pakistan’s successful and calculated response to counter India’s aggression through operational preparedness of the Strategic Forces to maintain peace and stability. Every year, Youm-e-Takbeer is observed across the country in commemoration of Pakistan’s decision to ensure it security, to maintain strategic stability and to deter external aggression despite the immense international pressure and threat of crippling sanctions. Consequently, the utility of nuclear weapons can be checked from the fact that despite multiple escalations after overt nuclearization of South Asia, India has not dared to attack Pakistan thus nuclear weapon capability of Pakistan has ensured safety, security and durable peace and protection from any external aggression.

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South Asia

“The Emperor’s Order”

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The unfortunate and disdainful assumptions about GB’s youth in social media may belie a lesser known fact about the unyielding patriotism and unwavering loyalty they have always had and continue to have for Pakistan for the last seven decades despite state’s persistent denial of fundamental and constitutional rights at par with other provinces of Pakistan. Their loyalties, sense of patriotism and aspirations towards ‘Federation’ are unparalleled, for they had fought the Dogras and gained independence only to join Pakistan.

With the most astounding proportion of literacy for both males and females in Gilgit-Baltistan, the denial of fundamental and constitutional rights has fostered the internal ashes of explosion that continues to burn underneath the conscious awareness of the youth and eventually might compel them to pen down their abjuration.

The sequential governments in Pakistan have intentionally managed to cap them (people of GB) through restraint which has kept the social wrath alive. Federal authorities of Pakistan have now proposed an executive order with the title “Government of Gilgit-Baltistan Order” which is to be tabled before the Prime Minister of Pakistan in next cabinet meeting for its approval.

On the off chance, if the proposed order is enforced and approved as such in GB, it will help the Prime Minister in securing ‘Ultra-Constitutional’ powers with regards to GB and will rule over without any powers conferred on him by the constitution of the Islamic Republic of Pakistan. The PM will thus be a Monarch.

Dubbed as ‘GB Emperor Order’ on social media, the proposed order suggests that: ‘The Prime Minister shall have the powers to adopt an amendment in the existing laws or any new law in force subject to the legislative competence under sub-section 2 of the proposed order. As many as 50 subjects of legislation have been conferred to the Prime Minister. As per Article 41 of the proposed order, the legislative authority of Gilgit-Baltistan Assembly in its own subjects is subservient to the Prime Minister.

Correspondingly, the articles, 60 (4), 60(6), (d) and 99 (2) additionally propose that the Law passed by Prime Minister will prevail the law(s) on the similar subject that is passed by GB Assembly. The proposed order additionally gives the privilege to the prime Minister to charge and collect taxes from the general population of Gilgit Baltistan. Moreover, the judicial powers have also been vested in PM. Likewise, the privilege to designate judges to the Supreme Appellate Court of Gilgit-Baltistan and other sub-courts has been allowed to the Prime Minister while the purview of GB courts is zilch in the mainland Pakistan. This would make the Prime Minister invulnerable to any choice of GB courts as no ruling can be passed against him.

If passed and implemented, the proposed GB order of 2018 will only amplify the grievances of people in GB, thus pushing them further to the margins. The political ‘establishment’ in this regard ought to be pragmatic; for, if GB can be taxed equally, they can join the defence forces of the country, citizens are provided with the national identity cards and the passports stamped by the government of Pakistan then why can’t they be treated equally and given equal rights?

The present government needs to be vigilant in this regard, for it is already fighting a ‘political crusade’ to offer ‘respect to vote’, the proposed GB arrangement, if passed, will no less at that point be a mockery of this slogan.

To conclude, in milieu of the current scenario, there is a single voice of superior patriotism and integration with federation distinguishably intoned among others. The voice of integration being chanted from the mountains downwards to the seashores by the residents of Gilgit-Baltistan must be heard properly as an oracle.

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South Asia

Excellency Narendra Modi when will you become Affectionate Neighbour?

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Slavery was abolished in Islam 1500 years ago. Against this backdrop the Muslims of Indo-Pak subcontinent revolted against the “British Rule” to get rid of their clutches / slavery. The Muslim political thinkers and Ulemas reached to the conclusion that Muslims cannot live with Britishers and Hindus on the basis of “Two Nation Theory” in line with Allama Muhammad Iqbal (late) and Sir Syed Ahmad Khan (late) political wisdom. The revolt against British was culminated into “War of Independence” in 1857. This laid stone and paved the way for an Islamic state now known as “Pakistan”. The Hindus were also benefited with the creation of Pakistan and thereafter a Hindu sate “India” also came on the world globe. After the independence in 1947 Pakistan is maintaining cordial relations with neighbouring and other countries of the world. Unfortunately the Hindu psyche and their Slave Mentality could not be changed even after 70 years and the Indians still owe allegiance from core of their heart to her Majesty the Queen of Great Britain (UK). Even today the Indian Prime Minister HE Narendra Modi pay homage to British Government and submit reports on  daily basis. The classic example is the recent visit of Narendra Modi to London (April 2018) in which he in a question and answers session at Central Hall Westminster (London) revealed before the audience regarding surgical strikes carried out by Indian Army against Pakistani troops deployed along LoC.

Indian PM in a bid to muster support and financial assistance from British Government for his forth coming election’s 2019 propagated and boosted his concocted version that Indian authorities kept on calling Pakistani counterparts in Islamabad to collect dead bodies of Pakistani soldiers from LoC. The information disseminated to the Britishers against Pakistan was false and far from truth.

Unfortunately, the Indian Intelligence Agencies, its Army and Foreign office have made it a routine to interfere in the internal matters of the peripheral countries in a bid to accomplish  their hegemonic designs which the Indian leadership has been claiming  from time to time including Narendra Modi false / tall claim of creation of Bangladesh in 1971. The Indian Army is also following the foot prints / aggressive policies of Indian political leadership. General Bipon Rawat (Indian Army Chief) and Lt Gen AK Bhaat, Corps Commander Srinagar in their media briefings have been threatening Pakistan Armed Forces and Kashmiri Muslim freedom fighters / organizations of dire consequences, they committed atrocities / brutalities on the innocent Muslims / minorities by using lethal weapons including Anti-Tank Guided Missiles, Mortar guns and chemical agents.

India to fulfill its hegemonic designs in South Asia and enhance its influence, the Indian Defence Minister Mst Nirmala Subramanian visited various foreign countries to purchase military equipment worth US 5.6 billion including SA-400 missile system F-35 fighter aircraft from Israel and 80 MI-70 helicopter to augment mobilization of Indian troops and LEA’s to crush innocent Muslims of IHK and Sikhs of Khalistan movement. Indian government in addition to further enhance the barbaric activities of its  intelligence / security agencies, RAW, Intelligence Bureau, Bureau of Investigation, Special protection group and National Security Guards are allowed to import i arms, / ammunition, telescopic silencer short guns, with night vision capabilities and hand grenades from US / Israel without the scrutiny and permission of Indian parliament and Indian Defence Ministry. These sophisticated arms / ammunition will be smuggled and supplied to various terrorist groups in Pakistan, Afghanistan and Nepal by RAW / MOSAAD / CIA. In Nepal RAW has established a front organization by the name of Islami Sangh Nepal and in Bangladesh Faleh-e-Insaniyat Foundation to impart training to terrorists in fabricating improvised explosive devices. The arms / ammunition are also supplied from RAW establishments to dissident / terrorist groups to carry out violence and instability in the peripheral countries.

Excellency Modi we have tried to highlight the chronological   sequence of events  and nefarious activities being carried out by your Government, Senior Army officers, RAW / Intelligence Bureau and Law Enforcing Agencies. The scrutiny / analysis for the reasons behind aggressive behavior pattern / attitude are the outcome of Hindu mechanism of hereditary, aggression, frustration and anxiety in Indian society. They have fallen prey to psychotic disorder and negative Edipis Complex. To live in the “Global Village” of civilized nations it is high time on the part of Indian Government to change its policies and attitude in order to prove themselves as a civilized mature and affectionate nation towards its neighboring countries.

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