US vice-president Joe Biden is in Turkey to help shore up the languishing relation between the US and Turkey. The Turkish-US alliance has reached a new low ever since the coup that almost overthrew President Erdogan from power. Rumors are suggesting the US will relocate its strategically placed nuclear warheads from Turkey to Romania. This movement of US nuclear arms, which have been stationed in Turkey since the Cold War, signals a new shift in the trajectory of US-Turkish relationship.
The meeting between president Vladimir Putin and Recep Tayyip Erdogan held on August 9 moved the relations between two countries to a new positive direction, and served as the beginning of restoration of “axis of friendship” and clean slate between Ankara and Moscow. The meeting was held in St.Petersburg after the failed coup attempt in Turkey and deteriorated relations over the downed Su-24 warplane.
The Middle East is undergoing major whirlwinds of change. Two major events in recent weeks are about to bring tectonic shifts in Middle Eastern politics. While the region is known for its continuous turbulence and fickleness, nevertheless certain epochal events can change the tide and trajectory of the region and its politics.
It is a recognized reality that the Middle East is divided into two greater blocs, where Syria, Iraq & Hezbollah are spearheaded by Iran (often addressed as shia bloc) and the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Egypt, Morocco, Turkey & Qatar are spearheaded by Saudi Arabia (often addressed as sunni bloc). However, a new reality is trending.
Robert A. Heinlein's assertion "A generation which ignores history has no past; and no future," is a good starter to understand the issue of the Vienna Agreement. After the Munich Agreement was signed, in September 1938, Britain and France deliberately abandoned Czechoslovakia to Hitler, believing this was the only way to save the world from another war. However, Winston Churchill: "“You were given the choice between war and dishonor. You chose dishonor and you will have war. ”Exactly as in 1938, Obama had to choose between dishonor and war, and he chose dishonor. Now we all will have both the dishonor and the war.
The 2016 elections presents a divergence in US foreign policy between the two major candidates. On one hand is the continuance of the status-quo by Hilary Clinton, who is pushing for a value-based foreign policy, as all presidents have done for decades while Donald Trump is looking for a shift in US foreign policy that hearkens backs to a time when the US was less interventionist and more explicit about its interests rather than claiming to cultivate democratic governments.
While there have been a lot of discussions about the ‘moral obligation’ to let the refugees enter into the European Union (EU)against the ‘economic burden’ of refugees entering into the region, less has been talked about regarding the ‘economic benefit’ from such entrance of refugees. The EU’s problems of declining population and ageing labour force may well be solved by accommodating the refugees into the economic orbit of the EU.
Since July 25 last, Assad’s Syrian Arab Army has hammered the Israeli front of the Golan Heights with its artillery, often logistically supported by Russia. The goal is obviously to prompt a response by the Jewish State and make it wage a war directly against Syria. A pointless suicide for Israel, a return to the old and useless lines of the Cold War in the Middle East.