T
he insurgency against Bashar al-Assad’s Alawite regime began on March 15, 2015 in the framework of the Arab Springs - in that case designed to destabilize Saudi Arabia. Unlike what had happened in the Maghreb region and in Egypt, Saudi Arabia managed the issue by putting severe pressures on the United States - the global managers of the "Arab Springs" - but, above all, by harshly repressing every internal rebellion.

Published in Middle East

W
hile the post-sanction era for Iran seems prosperous, it's a cause of concern for Iran’s major foe, Saudi Arabia. Iran’s rising influence in the Middle East and the anticipation of Iran, possibly, one day, acquiring a nuclear weapon – is giving Saudi Arabia heartburn.

Published in Middle East

I
ndia’s bid to join the Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG) cartel that controls nuclear exports – failed in this group’s past plenary sessions. This consistent rejection at this point came as a big disappointment to Indian observers.

Published in South Asia

T
here is fundamental point which needs to be studied carefully: the war in Syria - after the entry of the Russian Federation into the region – implies a connection between Russia and Iran that is supremely dangerous for Israel. In fact, many of the Russian air raids on the Syrian soil come from the Iranian base of Hamadan, 175 miles south of Tehran - the historical tomb, inter alia, of Esther and Mordechai, the traditional pilgrimage of Iranian Jews.

Published in Middle East

O
n December 19, 2016, the Russian ambassador to Turkey, Andrey Karlov, was assassinated by Mevlüt Mert Altıntaş, an off-duty police officer, in Ankara during an art exhibit. The assassination took place at a critical junction, as Turkey and Russia have just started to repair their broken relationship due to the earlier downing of a Russian jet fighter. Furthermore, it also coincided with historic meetings between Turkey, Russia, and Iran to create a Syrian peace treaty, where Turkey gave up almost all political and military positions regarding the Syrian crisis.

Published in Intelligence

T
he previous two Syrian "ceasefires" of February and September last were substantial failures. Mediated by too diverging interests, they were bogged down in a zero-sum game among the irregularities committed by all the groups involved.

Published in Middle East

H
ow to draw the line between the recent and still unsettled EU/EURO crisis and Asia’s success story? Well, it might be easier than it seems: Neither Europe nor Asia has any alternative. The difference is that Europe well knows there is no alternative – and therefore is multilateral.

Published in Defense

G
eopolitics is a strange science or, more precisely, a specific "thinking style". While History reconstructs facts and interpret them ex post, according to the classic and still valid Cicero’s line of "Historia magistra vitae", in geopolitics the basic rationale is future-oriented and not past-oriented: what shall I do, in History, to reach certain results?

Published in Europe
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